Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.247167 0.289700 0.339939 0.404369 0.485845 0.586886 0.723986
2025-02-09 0.185103 0.237378 0.307257 0.410457 0.564436 0.795457 1.189624
2025-02-16 0.151184 0.206715 0.287992 0.421942 0.651247 1.059628 1.935555
2025-02-23 0.128315 0.184052 0.271485 0.428782 0.731201 1.360416 3.058927
2025-03-02 0.111599 0.166208 0.256750 0.431915 0.804421 1.699612 4.760072
2025-03-09 0.098299 0.150866 0.242023 0.429417 0.864481 2.058902 7.262532
2025-03-16 0.087022 0.136783 0.226251 0.419608 0.903444 2.401126 10.720160
2025-03-23 0.080695 0.130163 0.222694 0.434227 1.011703 3.083743 19.238362
2025-03-30 0.072979 0.119839 0.209944 0.424344 1.048387 3.560400 30.079225
2025-04-06 0.068040 0.113948 0.204976 0.431618 1.142533 4.440132 58.318806
2025-04-13 0.062709 0.106600 0.195697 0.425510 1.190951 5.195210 107.289302
2025-04-20 0.059215 0.102391 0.192435 0.434492 1.301067 6.585792 282.247583
2025-04-27 0.056470 0.099429 0.191656 0.451039 1.458559 8.860632 1377.866442
2025-05-04 0.053636 0.095962 0.189205 0.462427 1.608167 11.780336 22043.739123
2025-05-11 0.051262 0.093174 0.187904 0.477260 1.792010 16.278892 NaN
2025-05-18 0.048789 0.089886 0.184857 0.485740 1.956182 22.037738 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046340 0.086386 0.180746 0.489566 2.103077 29.429177 NaN
2025-06-01 0.043841 0.082523 0.175147 0.486661 2.210598 37.936252 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041234 0.078179 0.167715 0.475118 2.253701 45.869921 NaN
2025-06-15 0.039955 0.076732 0.167800 0.492349 2.531975 73.282858 NaN
2025-06-22 0.037749 0.072946 0.161019 0.480701 2.575367 90.885379 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036405 0.071061 0.159269 0.489273 2.809461 144.050185 NaN
2025-07-06 0.034663 0.068089 0.154086 0.482075 2.896678 195.697817 NaN